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Expert Says XRP Not Priced In for SEC Ripple Case Conclusion
August 6, 2025
As XRP trades at $2.95 and trends downward, analyst Zach Rector believes the current price fails to reflect a major catalyst approaching the market. In a tweet, Rector argued that the final outcome of the long-running SEC vs. Ripple case has not yet been priced into XRP. According to him, many XRP holders remain in disbelief that the case could actually conclude soon.
Prevalent Disbelief in the XRP Community
Rector suggests there is a significant disconnect between current market sentiment and what could unfold in the Ripple vs. SEC case. He noted that even within the XRP community, there is a prevailing sense of doubt about the lawsuit reaching a final resolution soon.
Ripple Lawsuit Nearing End: Ex-SEC Lawyer
Notably, this discussion comes ahead of a key date—August 15—when both Ripple and the SEC will submit a status update regarding their pending appeal. Former SEC lawyer Marc Fagel previously confirmed that the appeal process is nearing completion, which has fueled speculation that a formal conclusion is imminent.
The SEC vs. Ripple case has spanned nearly five years, casting a long shadow over XRP’s price potential. While the 2023 ruling confirmed that XRP is not a security, the legal battle over institutional sales and remedies has continued into 2025. Market watchers suggest that mid-August may be when both parties drop their appeals. Ripple has already publicly disclosed its readiness to do so, while the SEC’s position remains undisclosed.
Ultimately, a final dismissal would mark the complete end of a lawsuit that has lingered for nearly half a decade. According to Rector, the current hesitation from investors may represent a final window of opportunity to buy XRP at a low price before significant capital floods into the ecosystem.
ETF Inflows Could Multiply Impact
Adding to the potential upside is the anticipated approval of XRP spot ETFs, which could align with the resolution of the case. As noted in Rector’s earlier analysis, even a modest $5 billion in ETF inflows could push XRP past $7, based on market cap multipliers. In July, Ethereum funds pulled in $5.4 billion in inflows. If XRP follows a similar pattern, the resulting market cap boost could drive a price rally far beyond current levels to reach $10–$20 within a year, according to Rector.
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